Genel – Süleyman Yaşar

11 Nisan 2026

MERKEZ BANKASININ KAÇ TON ALTINI VAR?

Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası’nın Bilançolarına göre; 2023 yılı sonunda 726,2024 yılı sonunda 766,2025 yılı sonunda 811 ton uluslararası standartta altını vardı. 3 Nisan 2025 tarihli Bilançosunda 694 tona geriledi. Ayrıca…

30 Mart 2026

EMPLOYMENT RATE HAS NOT EXCEEDED 52 PERCENT FOR 36 YEARSThe employment rate in January of this year was announced as 47.9 percent. In other words, only 31 million 953 thousand of 66 million 680 thousand people over the age of 15 work in our country. However, in 1990, that is, 36 years ago, the employment rate in Turkey was 52.1 percent. More precisely, more than half of those over the age of 15 were participating in production. Let’s come to other countries… The employment rate in Poland is 73.2 percent, 77.3 percent in Germany, 59.3 percent in America and 53.1 percent in Bulgaria.For the last two years, the ratio of investments to GDP has corresponded to approximately 31 percent in our country. Despite this, the lack of increase in employment can be attributed to the 8.8 percent shrinkage of the agricultural sector and the decrease in exports and the increase in imports.

13 Mart 2026

CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE DEFICIT INCREASED FROM 14.5 BILLION DOLLARS TO 32.9 BILLION DOLLARS IN THE LAST YEARAccording to the latest data from the central bank( TCMB), the current account balance deficit, which was 14.5 billion dollars in January 2025, increased to 32.9 billion dollars in January 2026. So, what does the current account deficit mean? Current account deficit means that a country spends more than it produces. Therefore, our expenditures more than we produced in the last year increased by 126 percent. Then it is useful to reduce consumption.

14 Şubat 2026

ACCORDING TO IMF TÜRKİYE CONSULTATION REPORT: Lira strength will eventually raise the risk of overvaluation

Exchange rate policy should focus on smoothing excessive volatility that could dislodge inflation expectations. Foreign exchange intervention (FXI) has helped smooth lira volatility and respond to shocks that could destabilize…

14 Şubat 2026

ACCORDING TO IMF TÜRKİYE CONSULTATION REPORT: Lira strength will eventually raise the risk of overvaluation Exchange rate policy should focus on smoothing excessive volatility that could dislodge inflation expectations. Foreign…

12 Şubat 2026

MERKEZ BANKASI BAŞKANINA GÖRE TÜRKİYE’DE YASTIK ALTINDA 600 MİLYAR DOLAR TUTARINDA ALTIN VAR.

Bu hesaba göre şu anki fiyatlardan yastık altında yaklaşık 3600 ton altın olduğu tahmin ediliyor. Merkez Bankası Başkanı bugün ayrıca 2026 yılı enflasyon tahminini iki puan artırarak yüzde 13-yüzde 19…

21 Ocak 2026

IMF’S STUDY ON SERVICE INFLATION AND EXCHANGE RATE IN TÜRKİYEAccording to the study conducted by IMF experts, there is inertia in services inflation in Türkiye. Because the exchange rate does not affect the prices of goods and services in the same way. While goods prices are sensitive to the exchange rate, services prices move in inertia. Therefore, service prices are high.As it is known, the real exchange rate is theoretically calculated by dividing the marginal labor productivity of the tradable goods by the marginal labor productivity of the non tradable goods.The real exchange rate index in Türkiye is measured by the Central Bank and published every month. Accordingly, the real exchange rate index December 2025 appears as 74 against the currencies of developed countries. This figure tells us that the Turkish lira has lost excessive value.However, when the American consumer price indices and the Turkish Statistical Institute consumer price indices are compared on the basis of January 2003, the Turkish Lira nominal exchange rate seems to be overvalued by approximately 26.3 percent.Therefore, it is normal for the service sector, which is not subject to foreign trade, to be in inertia against the exchange rate. Because the overvalued Turkish lira makes the production of goods and services that are not subject to foreign trade profitable. On the other hand, it makes the production of goods subject to foreign trade unprofitable. For this reason, it is not surprising that service prices are in inertia despite the disinflation program.As such, it would be beneficial for the IMF to reconsider and review this study.

21 Ocak 2026

Süleyman Yaşar

Kategori: Genel

MERKEZ BANKASININ KAÇ TON ALTINI VAR?

ACCORDING TO IMF TÜRKİYE CONSULTATION REPORT: Lira strength will eventually raise the risk of overvaluation

MERKEZ BANKASI BAŞKANINA GÖRE TÜRKİYE’DE YASTIK ALTINDA 600 MİLYAR DOLAR TUTARINDA ALTIN VAR.

TOP ECONOMIC RISK ACCORDING TO WORLD ECONOMIC FORM 2026 DAVOS

MACROECONOMIC TARGETS ACCORDING TO THE 2026 PROGRAM

EU Growth has been revised up to 1.4% in 2025

Hakkında

MERKEZ BANKASININ KAÇ TON ALTINI VAR?

ACCORDING TO IMF TÜRKİYE CONSULTATION REPORT: Lira strength will eventually raise the risk of overvaluation

MERKEZ BANKASI BAŞKANINA GÖRE TÜRKİYE’DE YASTIK ALTINDA 600 MİLYAR DOLAR TUTARINDA ALTIN VAR.